DowJones2
0xa8e05940bec0316d682e5871078d02af2d0b244b
- Realised P&L
- $-108.03
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $236.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.30at 0.782Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?
- +$18.30at 0.522Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$11.11at 0.900Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
- +$9.94at 0.867Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?
- +$9.40at 0.906Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:12 | Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.98 |
| 10-08 19:12 | Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.15 |
| 10-08 19:11 | Will Isaias peak at Category 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.49 |
| 10-08 19:10 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.77 |
| 10-08 19:10 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.44 |
| 10-08 19:10 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.77 |
| 10-08 19:10 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.89 |
| 10-07 20:00 | Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.646 | $9.37 |
| 10-07 19:59 | Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.92 |
| 10-07 19:59 | Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane? | BUY | 0.42 | $12.29 |
| 10-07 15:53 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 14:27 | Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season? | BUY | 0.065 | $3.90 |
| 10-07 14:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $18.91 |
| 10-07 14:27 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 14:27 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $18.91 |