PolyBot

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Traders

DowJones2

0xa8e05940bec0316d682e5871078d02af2d0b244b

Realised P&L
$-108.03
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$236.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Plague pandemic in 2026? · No0.9610.961$58.93+$0.02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.3500.425$28.99+$5.12
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.180$22.28−$3.71
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026? · No0.9300.971$20.87+$0.87
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.6800.685$20.15+$0.15
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.2400.380$19.00+$7.00
Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane? · Yes0.4200.390$15.05−$1.16
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026? · No0.6460.710$10.29+$0.93
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.3100.305$7.53−$0.12
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026? · No0.9100.825$6.88−$0.71
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31? · Yes0.8800.890$5.22+$0.06
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.8500.835$4.89−$0.09
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes0.2530.220$4.54−$0.67
Will Isaias peak at Category 4? · Yes0.1100.054$4.54−$4.70
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? · Yes0.6400.144$4.26−$14.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 19:12Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.85$4.98
10-08 19:12Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?BUY0.24$2.15
10-08 19:11Will Isaias peak at Category 4?BUY0.11$6.49
10-08 19:10Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.31$1.77
10-08 19:10Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.26$1.44
10-08 19:10Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.25$3.77
10-08 19:10Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.31$5.89
10-07 20:00Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?BUY0.646$9.37
10-07 19:59Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?BUY0.42$3.92
10-07 19:59Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?BUY0.42$12.29
10-07 15:53Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.96$20.00
10-07 14:27Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?BUY0.065$3.90
10-07 14:27Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.64$18.91
10-07 14:27Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.961$20.00
10-07 14:27Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.961$18.91