0x9cf6c12ba5927d43e9297006a438d2af0af5559d

Realised P&L: not known
Volume: not known
Markets traded: 1,032
Open portfolio: $18.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—: No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
CautionMarkets traded1,032: High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position: Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions: Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%: Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position: Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
Market	Avg	Now	Value	Unrealised
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · No	0.949	0.946	$5.7k	−$20.96
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? · Yes	0.944	0.989	$3.8k	+$171.14
Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes	0.962	0.990	$3.0k	+$85.66
Will US win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes	0.893	0.986	$1.1k	+$102.19
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes	0.951	0.995	$598.18	+$26.08
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No	0.973	0.996	$585.10	+$13.30
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more? · Yes	0.983	0.990	$576.73	+$3.59
Will Marek Zelenka be the next Mayor of Olomouc? · Yes	0.967	0.966	$575.37	−$0.84
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No	0.500	0.876	$438.00	+$188.00
Will Likud win the Israeli legislative election by 3% or more? · Yes	0.918	0.996	$433.58	+$33.61
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň? · No	0.998	0.998	$275.09	−$0.21
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? · Yes	0.997	0.996	$268.92	−$0.34
Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? · Yes	0.950	0.967	$148.81	+$2.62
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · Yes	0.580	0.955	$95.50	+$37.50
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? · No	0.979	0.988	$77.86	+$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

+$4.0kat 0.335Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
+$2.4kat 0.902Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
+$2.2kat 0.219Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
+$2.1kat 0.671Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
+$2.0kat 0.051Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
Time	Market	Side	Price	Value
11-02 15:55	Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	BUY	0.999	$111.47
11-02 15:55	Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	BUY	0.999	$69.93
11-02 15:55	Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	BUY	0.9977918392	$163.84
11-02 15:32	Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	BUY	0.9961502182	$143.83
11-01 18:37	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	BUY	0.999	$79.92
11-01 18:34	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	BUY	0.999	$60.20
11-01 18:33	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	BUY	0.999	$90.18
11-01 18:33	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	BUY	0.999	$40.85
11-01 18:33	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	BUY	0.999	$39.96
11-01 18:30	Will the biggest earthquake on November 1, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?	BUY	0.99	$4.95
11-01 07:59	Will the biggest earthquake on November 1, 2026 be under 5.3?	BUY	0.99	$24.75
10-31 22:49	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	BUY	0.963	$10.22
10-31 22:48	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	BUY	0.963	$12.13
10-31 22:47	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	BUY	0.962	$19.23
10-31 22:35	Will the biggest earthquake on October 31, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	BUY	0.969	$19.38