TammyReynolds3557
0x805aff71fe24555fe7744ae18d96717cd6f3735d
- Realised P&L
- $-524.30
- Volume
- $146.2k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · U 84.5 | 0.840 | 0.934 | $1.2k | +$119.64 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.600 | 0.938 | $435.23 | +$156.83 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.500 | $13.94 | −$3.62 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.981 | $4.90 | +$1.50 |
| Celonis IPO before 2027? · No | 0.780 | 0.956 | $3.82 | +$0.70 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $1.02 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.11at 0.470Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
- +$231.54at 0.660XRP Up or Down - February 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$189.42at 0.580Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
- +$182.90at 0.320Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
- +$174.72at 0.510Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 21:00 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $11.04 |
| 04-11 19:38 | Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $28.05 |
| 04-11 08:07 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.62 | $4.96 |
| 04-09 12:14 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.67 | $14.07 |
| 03-31 01:56 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.27 | $61.29 |
| 03-31 01:54 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.27 | $98.28 |
| 03-31 01:52 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.27 | $153.36 |
| 03-31 01:50 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.27 | $154.17 |
| 03-31 01:49 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18? | SELL | 0.27 | $144.45 |
| 03-29 22:10 | Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-18? | BUY | 0.3 | $679.50 |
| 03-22 07:52 | Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | SELL | 0.52 | $3.12 |
| 03-22 03:12 | Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | SELL | 0.65 | $182.65 |
| 03-21 19:38 | Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | SELL | 0.73 | $215.35 |
| 03-21 18:19 | Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple? | SELL | 0.84 | $650.16 |
| 03-20 22:48 | Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | BUY | 0.61 | $355.02 |