skrol1f
0x1a51eda51dbd7160fbb12f82a08bbfa2adb751ee
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $86.6k
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $20.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$323.88at 0.030Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 19?
- +$88.00at 0.560Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?
- +$68.13at 0.637U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
- +$55.01at 0.521Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
- +$49.10at 0.696Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 15:42 | Will Solana reach $130 in September? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.36 |
| 09-24 15:24 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week? | SELL | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 09-24 15:24 | Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week? | SELL | 0.972 | $4.86 |
| 09-21 13:58 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 09:42 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 14 million views this week? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-20 06:14 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.79 |
| 09-20 06:11 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-17 12:32 | Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 07:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.11 |
| 09-16 07:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.2199999987 | $24.50 |
| 09-11 05:52 | Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.5 | $71.58 |
| 09-10 11:29 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.50 |
| 09-08 22:13 | Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week? | BUY | 0.8799999989 | $30.70 |
| 09-06 19:38 | Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.927 | $42.64 |
| 09-04 06:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.79 |