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Traders

mamai

0xabbeb2bdd30ba5c51cb14168b068103961648f37

Realised P&L
$-27.6k
Volume
$1.14M
Markets traded
712
Open portfolio
$17.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded712
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.8100.885$2.3k+$194.45
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7650.875$2.2k+$271.72
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7860.555$1.9k−$805.09
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · No0.9240.877$1.5k−$77.57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.4430.593$1.3k+$316.71
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? · No0.7230.745$1.1k+$32.89
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8100.705$870.37−$129.63
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2100.305$786.02+$243.85
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026? · No0.6820.635$716.53−$53.47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.5530.595$644.93+$44.93
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No0.6100.670$560.09+$50.09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.6210.675$543.52+$43.52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · Yes0.6640.715$538.62+$38.62
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · No0.3420.355$519.63+$18.64
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.7450.989$422.05+$104.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:06Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?BUY0.64$5.00
11-01 06:48Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?BUY0.9240473126$1.5k
11-01 06:47Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?BUY0.5727694312$100.00
11-01 06:44Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?BUY0.6951236596$700.00
11-01 06:44Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.8662383594$200.00
11-01 06:43US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?BUY0.609999999$200.00
11-01 06:42Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.2999999994$100.00
10-30 12:04Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?SELL0.99$513.93
10-30 12:04Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.4891846891$60.00
10-30 12:03Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.6863395214$30.00
10-30 12:03US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.7799999995$100.00
10-30 12:03Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9855633$985.56
10-30 12:02US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9728415784$2.7k
10-30 12:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.9640479478$904.78
10-30 12:00Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?SELL0.996$425.93
Trader mamai · PolyBot Pro