0x5f13fc993d6a04e7FB801f9204cC3c26Eb6Cf926-1781987576884
0x5f13fc993d6a04e7fb801f9204cc3c26eb6cf926
- Realised P&L
- $-214.65
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $101.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.50at 0.580Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
- +$29.95at 0.618Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
- +$25.94at 0.442Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
- +$21.10at 0.472Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?
- +$15.63at 0.481Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:41 | Flyers vs. Devils | BUY | 0.62 | $2.48 |
| 10-01 01:10 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-27 09:57 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-26 01:59 | Spread: Navy (-6.5) | SELL | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-25 19:42 | Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox | SELL | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-25 19:10 | Spread: Navy (-6.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-25 17:00 | Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-25 04:19 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.93 | $5.58 |
| 09-25 00:52 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-24 22:58 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.4 | $2.40 |
| 09-24 19:47 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-21 20:30 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 09-21 16:29 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 16:15 | Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.5199999992 | $27.00 |
| 09-20 09:37 | Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | SELL | 0.8341034483 | $24.19 |