mathacec
0x3d60a4dcf361d6eed01bfadd0c6cfc2ac8866df2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $326.8k
- Markets traded
- 4,114
- Open portfolio
- $532.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,114
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.90at 0.820Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
- +$109.48at 0.361NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA Clippers
- +$101.23at 0.156Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
- +$91.22at 0.401Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
- +$85.66at 0.566US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:39 | Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.38 |
| 10-08 19:52 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.62 |
| 10-08 17:57 | Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his Science Summit remarks? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.43 |
| 10-08 17:38 | Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his Science Summit remarks? | BUY | 0.7144869552 | $6.48 |
| 10-08 17:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.845 | $29.45 |
| 10-08 17:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8549999731 | $15.88 |
| 10-08 17:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8549999829 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 17:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8549999829 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 16:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.843 | $75.88 |
| 10-08 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 11:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8? | SELL | 0.998 | $30.36 |
| 10-08 05:08 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 00:43 | Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas? | BUY | 0.95 | $11.82 |
| 10-07 22:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-07 19:34 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | SELL | 0.981 | $13.16 |