PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mathacec

0x3d60a4dcf361d6eed01bfadd0c6cfc2ac8866df2

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$326.8k
Markets traded
4,114
Open portfolio
$532.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,114
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.4300.795$89.78+$41.22
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.950$68.67+$8.67
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.4300.421$50.52−$1.02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8550.857$46.17+$0.08
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5480.856$35.21+$12.67
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6780.865$30.90+$6.67
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8000.795$29.82−$0.19
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.6100.575$28.28−$1.72
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5600.425$25.50−$8.10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.9860.822$24.99−$5.01
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7600.925$18.74+$3.34
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.145$14.72−$1.52
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8100.735$14.61−$1.49
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.6390.247$14.52−$22.98
Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.9500.905$9.05−$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 21:39Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.85$6.38
10-08 19:52Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?BUY0.75$5.62
10-08 17:57Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his Science Summit remarks?BUY0.99$7.43
10-08 17:38Will Trump say "Million", "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his Science Summit remarks?BUY0.7144869552$6.48
10-08 17:29Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.845$29.45
10-08 17:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8549999731$15.88
10-08 17:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8549999829$30.00
10-08 17:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8549999829$30.00
10-08 16:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.843$75.88
10-08 14:25Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.9699999997$30.00
10-08 11:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8?SELL0.998$30.36
10-08 05:08Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.9859999997$30.00
10-08 00:43Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?BUY0.95$11.82
10-07 22:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8?BUY0.9859999997$30.00
10-07 19:34Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?SELL0.981$13.16