PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. Unchanged over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.004 to 0.005. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006629629
0.0072,2182,846
0.0082,2185,064
0.0092,2187,281
0.0103,21810,499
0.0112,21812,717
0.0122,21814,934
0.014514,939
0.0152314,962
0.03723815,200
0.0501015,210
0.1501215,222

Spread0.004Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0023,5723,572
0.00149,06452,635

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9983,5723,572
0.99949,06452,635

Spread0.004Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994629629
0.9932,2182,846
0.9922,2185,064
0.9912,2187,281
0.9903,21810,499
0.9892,21812,717
0.9882,21814,934
0.986514,939
0.9852314,962
0.96323815,200
0.9501015,210
0.8501215,222

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
125-kooyanisqatsiYes13,305.43
AvantPredictibilityYes2,319.57
hippokaYes2,083.5
AlexiosVYes1,909.57
jozeslemsekYes1,000
xtxpleasecallmeYes874.15
0x5533…51baYes608.79
GamblingEnjoyerYes530.9
awgraewrfaYes471.27
Red-bluedegenYes371.56
BabyGrootYes237.91
donthackmeYes237.8
carpe-noctemYes213.15
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes167
thejustmanYes150.03
roadstarYes150
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes150
BurgeYes135.04
HerrieDavisYes132.27
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758Yes132

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:32:32BUYNo0.99815$14.84
09:52:50SELLYes0.00215$0.03
09:52:44SELLYes0.0021$0.00
09:52:38SELLYes0.00213$0.03
09:52:32SELLYes0.00230$0.06
07:37:31BUYNo0.99827$26.45
07:37:31BUYNo0.99820$19.96
18:20:58BUYNo0.99840$39.92
18:09:46BUYNo0.99830$29.94
18:05:31BUYNo0.99830$29.94
18:04:10BUYNo0.99837$36.93
18:03:49BUYNo0.9988$7.98
14:49:07SELLYes0.00212$0.02
01:53:51SELLYes0.00217$0.03
01:53:45SELLYes0.00213$0.03
15:52:17BUYNo0.99817$16.59
15:52:17BUYNo0.99880$80.06
15:52:15BUYNo0.99815$14.97
15:52:15BUYNo0.99830$29.94
09:40:02BUYNo0.99830$29.94
04:56:18BUYNo0.9984$3.96
21:45:32BUYNo0.9989$9.28
21:45:32BUYNo0.9988$8.38
18:02:50BUYNo0.9984$4.30
01:12:00BUYNo0.9981$1.41