PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.003 to 0.004. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0031,6881,688
0.005511,739
0.006201,759
0.007201,779
0.0101,4593,238
0.0114593,696
0.0127,89611,592
0.01345912,051
0.01445912,510
0.01545912,969
0.01645913,428
0.01745913,886

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0028,0338,033
0.00159,18067,213

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9988,0338,033
0.99959,18067,213

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9971,6881,688
0.995511,739
0.994201,759
0.993201,779
0.9901,4593,238
0.9894593,696
0.9887,89611,592
0.98745912,051
0.98645912,510
0.98545912,969
0.98445913,428
0.98345913,886

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fur-foxYes7,437.15
125-kooyanisqatsiYes4,157.32
AvantPredictibilityYes2,319.57
hippokaYes2,083.5
LA17Yes1,909.57
Crypto-WellYes1,688
jozeslemsekYes1,000
GamblingEnjoyerYes530.9
cry.eth2Yes471.27
Red-bluedegenYes371.56
BabyGrootYes237.91
donthackmeYes237.82
carpe-noctemYes213.15
HerrieDavisYes152.51
thejustmanYes150.03
roadstarYes150
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes150
BurgeYes135.04
LavinceyYes127.52
yunosYes100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:32:09BUYNo0.9985$4.99
22:50:25BUYNo0.9985$4.99
19:15:07BUYNo0.9988$7.98
19:13:42BUYNo0.99820$19.96
19:05:25BUYNo0.9985$4.99
19:05:24BUYNo0.9985$4.99
17:50:18BUYNo0.9985$4.99
12:50:22BUYNo0.9985$4.99
10:50:15BUYNo0.9985$4.99
07:50:21BUYNo0.9985$4.99
05:51:12BUYNo0.9985$4.99
05:04:30BUYNo0.9985$4.99
05:04:30BUYNo0.9985$4.99
03:50:25BUYNo0.9985$4.99
02:51:43BUYNo0.9985$4.99
01:51:10BUYNo0.9985$4.99
01:51:09BUYNo0.9985$4.99
01:49:12BUYNo0.9985$4.99
23:28:46BUYNo0.99810$9.98
23:26:57BUYNo0.9985$4.99
23:26:57BUYNo0.99820$19.96
23:26:57BUYNo0.9988$7.98
23:26:55BUYNo0.99810$9.98
23:22:00BUYNo0.9986$5.99
23:21:58BUYNo0.99810$9.98