PolyBot

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Traders

roadstar

0x0387b38bbd5d84670bf8adbbf14129653f1462d1

Realised P&L
$161.96
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · No0.9480.994$497.88+$22.82
Will BMO fail by end of 2026? · No0.9710.977$202.87+$1.23
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No0.8920.982$196.40+$18.01
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9610.981$196.10+$3.90
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9000.959$135.09+$8.30
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9180.969$108.36+$5.61
Fed abolished before 2027? · No0.9360.984$100.44+$4.80
Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026? · No0.9690.976$79.22+$0.55
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9490.967$77.36+$1.46
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.6100.715$71.50+$10.50
Will RBC fail by end of 2026? · No0.9690.967$59.79$0.16
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.5070.920$52.10+$23.37
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No0.9200.986$49.27+$3.27
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? · No0.9660.972$48.54+$0.25
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No0.6160.305$40.32$41.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 22:04Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.845$42.25
06-23 19:46Will UBS fail by end of 2026?BUY0.966$9.66
06-23 19:45Will BMO fail by end of 2026?BUY0.9637318501$32.92
06-17 18:04Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.736$36.80
06-17 18:03Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?BUY0.83$22.41
06-16 22:07Will UBS fail by end of 2026?BUY0.9647371311$28.11
06-16 22:07Will Wells Fargo fail by end of 2026?BUY0.965$9.65
06-16 21:55Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.963$9.63
06-16 21:55Will BMO fail by end of 2026?BUY0.963$8.82
06-16 00:07Will BMO fail by end of 2026?BUY0.964737899$45.64
06-12 17:24Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.9673324433$28.98
06-12 17:24Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.968737717$78.67
06-09 19:11Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.025$7.50
06-05 17:29Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?BUY0.0737394707$3.96
05-31 02:49Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.968$4.84