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Traders

Red-bluedegen

0xd7ba0e06a755a33a5676e9d20a69c7e439b176ca

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$21.8k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$39.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$37.47$62.46
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0600.003$0.99$19.01
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.1350.003$0.93$49.07
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.2190.000$0.00$51.06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$76.70
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 09:34Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.2$99.93
04-15 09:33Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.0899999974$30.00
03-25 10:14Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.2199999937$20.11
03-25 10:14Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2199999936$20.00
03-25 10:13Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.216071417$11.00
03-25 10:06Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.089999998$40.00
03-24 16:15Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.2199999936$20.00
03-24 16:14Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2$20.00
03-19 16:06Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0604741171$20.00
03-19 16:05Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.1345686182$50.00
01-09 14:39Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3437428484$122.76
01-09 14:38Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?SELL0.0736528153$122.02
12-17 09:37Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999972$40.00
12-17 09:37Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?BUY0.0300606043$16.00
12-12 11:29Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999976$50.03
Trader Red-bluedegen · PolyBot Pro