AvantPredictibility
0x7c0a3045f5219771bef7fc4af9e45decff46364b
- Realised P&L
- $-597.54
- Volume
- $43.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $9.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.004 | $9.28 | −$39.34 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$616.07 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$358.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$539.99at 0.460Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
- +$197.38at 0.500Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$83.80at 0.500Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?
- +$78.40at 0.500Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
- +$44.17at 0.872Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 19:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $358.17 |
| 07-30 17:58 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.029 | $66.70 |
| 07-24 21:36 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.021 | $10.92 |
| 07-06 22:29 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.055 | $275.00 |
| 07-02 12:47 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0599985714 | $209.99 |
| 07-02 12:46 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0585454545 | $64.40 |
| 07-02 12:42 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0282064 | $25.39 |
| 07-01 20:18 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $11.28 |
| 03-27 23:24 | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines | SELL | 0.18 | $1.0k |
| 03-27 16:54 | Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines | SELL | 0.19 | $607.43 |
| 03-20 17:01 | Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders | SELL | 0.2 | $155.86 |
| 03-17 18:56 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.3 | $52.05 |
| 03-17 16:43 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.31 | $26.97 |
| 03-14 01:21 | Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.7045573644 | $164.03 |
| 03-13 19:16 | Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars? | SELL | 0.28 | $8.40 |