LA17
0xf6eab31d96d24310f33f258bc48a01bd48bc0a00
- Realised P&L
- $13.0k
- Volume
- $2.97M
- Markets traded
- 424
- Open portfolio
- $70.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded424
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.959Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$1.2kat 0.805US recession by end of 2026?
- +$889.32at 0.873Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
- +$817.35at 0.992Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
- +$653.78at 0.983Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 01:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.957 | $1.9k |
| 09-21 22:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 09-21 09:45 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9233793667 | $79.03 |
| 09-20 13:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $986.96 |
| 09-20 13:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $35.61 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 00:56 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.15 |
| 09-15 22:57 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $780.00 |
| 09-11 15:15 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $27.36 |
| 09-11 14:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $340.00 |
| 09-11 14:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $640.76 |
| 09-11 13:59 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9898503536 | $4.5k |
| 09-11 13:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.9724924333 | $291.75 |
| 09-11 13:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | SELL | 0.967 | $6.96 |
| 09-11 13:07 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $283.70 |