PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Burge

0x150657df3cc85b57834e2fb697dd63c095ceca77

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$165.0k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$19.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 22:16Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.2$879.12
04-25 23:53Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.51$975.00
04-23 01:38Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.18$126.00
04-23 01:36Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.1$12.67
04-23 01:34Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0409999992$47.00
04-23 01:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$134.22
04-22 18:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0479130363$85.00
04-22 14:50Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.034$2.42
04-22 14:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0513161885$400.00
04-22 14:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0090491237$65.00
04-07 23:35US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.017$8.57
04-07 23:32US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.981$3.0k
04-07 23:20US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.982$491.00
04-07 23:11US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.9143108046$1.1k
04-07 22:31US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.3447598469$810.00