Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.003. Unchanged over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.003 to 0.004. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	4,106	4,106
0.005	3,057	7,164
0.006	1,953	9,117
0.007	20	9,137
0.008	20	9,157
0.009	1,473	10,630
0.018	80	10,710
0.241	5	10,715
0.252	10	10,725
0.253	100	10,825
0.489	625	11,450
0.490	960	12,410

Spread0.002Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.002	7,183	7,183
0.001	9,061	16,244

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.998	7,183	7,183
0.999	9,061	16,244

Spread0.002Mid0.997

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	4,106	4,106
0.995	3,057	7,164
0.994	1,953	9,117
0.993	20	9,137
0.992	20	9,157
0.991	1,473	10,630
0.982	80	10,710
0.759	5	10,715
0.748	10	10,725
0.747	100	10,825
0.511	625	11,450
0.510	960	12,410

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	5,860.44
fiter	Yes	3,288.61
0xbE9DA80f590dfE84A343f4122db51896A627a829-1769704674926	Yes	2,149.36
0xB16B00B5	Yes	2,136.59
BabyGroot	Yes	1,472.88
acc42020	Yes	1,249.21
0x85Be1DBEB4d12Cf0C87D9e0E72382303EF34FE8B-1770218522391	Yes	893.33
illyasviel	Yes	562.12
ICountElectricSheep	Yes	500
cry.eth2	Yes	471.27
0xC5d08BF80FD2d540e35d53B11113aDb4519C02C2-1776758995948	Yes	421.18
0xBE37b28957131B564778fD5555211afBd45B77c8-1767840340640	Yes	417.68
0x597f1a30c93298C3F26b6F3faB92746B2F74702C-1781483990698	Yes	377.5
HerrieDavis	Yes	269.27
0x85b82fAd87ED353061e0d0ED54bCE8878458224d-1768098324171	Yes	200
balthazar	Yes	199.85
0xe5ab…8b8d	Yes	196.96
0x1D36756fbAAED1433bF59c80b105396513d82A3b-1771747868231	Yes	171.67
0xD6863383BDD6DACE509ad491a021a422b68ED041-1768925805506	Yes	153.85
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:55:50	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.11
01:55:36	SELL	No	0.996	2	$1.72
01:50:29	BUY	No	0.998	2	$1.83
12:27:12	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.14
12:26:57	SELL	No	0.996	2	$1.68
12:10:11	BUY	No	0.998	2	$1.82
11:33:33	SELL	No	0.996	1	$1.01
11:27:56	BUY	No	0.998	1	$1.00
11:12:21	BUY	No	0.998	10	$9.98
10:56:15	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.29
10:55:56	SELL	No	0.996	2	$1.87
10:51:02	BUY	No	0.998	2	$2.14
08:50:00	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.23
08:49:53	SELL	No	0.996	1	$0.80
08:43:42	BUY	No	0.997	1	$1.00
04:03:43	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.46
04:03:34	SELL	No	0.996	1	$0.52
03:58:36	BUY	No	0.998	1	$1.00
16:04:42	BUY	No	0.998	25	$24.84
16:04:42	BUY	No	0.998	13	$12.77
16:04:42	BUY	No	0.998	10	$9.98
15:56:10	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.14
15:55:55	SELL	No	0.996	1	$0.86
15:50:06	BUY	No	0.998	1	$1.00
12:10:49	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.22