0x1D36756fbAAED1433bF59c80b105396513d82A3b-1771747868231
0x1d36756fbaaed1433bf59c80b105396513d82a3b
- Realised P&L
- $-315.85
- Volume
- $62.7k
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $504.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$130.71at 0.129Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
- +$68.55at 0.480Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
- +$34.00at 0.105Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 25?
- +$31.91at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$26.46at 0.458Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 21:44 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 08-28 21:44 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 08-28 21:43 | Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 08-28 21:41 | Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 08-28 21:41 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.27 |
| 06-26 10:47 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.113 | $1.04 |
| 06-23 21:26 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0140666126 | $3.82 |
| 05-19 21:24 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $50.00 |
| 04-28 23:26 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | SELL | 0.022578125 | $7.23 |
| 04-28 23:25 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | BUY | 0.025 | $8.00 |
| 04-28 22:43 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002431036 | $0.54 |
| 04-28 22:42 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0087843626 | $0.95 |
| 04-28 22:40 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 04-28 22:39 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 04-09 00:35 | Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0123336667 | $3.70 |