PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1D36756fbAAED1433bF59c80b105396513d82A3b-1771747868231

0x1d36756fbaaed1433bf59c80b105396513d82a3b

Realised P&L
$-315.85
Volume
$62.7k
Markets traded
251
Open portfolio
$504.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded251
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0170.494$348.13+$336.13
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0550.245$99.70+$77.40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.174$49.55+$47.55
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0210.029$1.36+$0.36
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0300.004$0.81$5.19
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.004$0.67$0.33
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0090.003$0.64$1.36
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0590.005$0.56$5.44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0040.003$0.56$0.44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.003$0.51$0.48
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0700.004$0.45$6.55
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0800.003$0.30$7.70
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0470.003$0.27$4.73
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1030.004$0.27$5.79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0410.004$0.26$2.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 21:44Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
08-28 21:44Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.001$0.13
08-28 21:43Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.001$0.17
08-28 21:41Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.002$0.20
08-28 21:41Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.01$0.27
06-26 10:47Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.113$1.04
06-23 21:26Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0140666126$3.82
05-19 21:24Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$50.00
04-28 23:26Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?SELL0.022578125$7.23
04-28 23:25Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?BUY0.025$8.00
04-28 22:43Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?SELL0.002431036$0.54
04-28 22:42Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?SELL0.0087843626$0.95
04-28 22:40Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?SELL0.01$0.10
04-28 22:39Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?SELL0.011$0.22
04-09 00:35Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?SELL0.0123336667$3.70