PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD6863383BDD6DACE509ad491a021a422b68ED041-1768925805506

0xd6863383bdd6dace509ad491a021a422b68ed041

Realised P&L
$611.10
Volume
$36.2k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$0.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0130.003$0.46$1.54
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.1000.018$0.37$1.63
Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Thierry Mariani win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$1.00
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$2.00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.58
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$2.00
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-14 19:02Will Trump say "Football" this week? (February 15)BUY0.1363770576$5.27
02-08 22:05Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?BUY0.1$2.00
02-08 22:02Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31?BUY0.0569999484$1.00
02-08 22:01Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?BUY0.008$1.00
02-08 22:01Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?BUY0.0170000001$3.00
02-08 21:53Will the US strike Iran next?BUY0.0620912802$4.00
02-08 18:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 9?BUY0.012$3.00
02-08 18:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 8?BUY0.001$1.00
02-08 18:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 8?BUY0.001$2.00
02-08 17:44Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 8?BUY0.001$1.00
02-08 17:44Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 8?BUY0.001$1.00
02-08 17:44Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 8?BUY0.001$1.00
02-08 17:43Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on February 8?BUY0.001$1.00
02-08 17:42Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?BUY0.002$1.00
02-08 17:41Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 56 million views on day 2?BUY0.005$3.00