0x85Be1DBEB4d12Cf0C87D9e0E72382303EF34FE8B-1770218522391
0x85be1dbeb4d12cf0c87d9e0e72382303ef34fe8b
- Realised P&L
- $-364.02
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 266
- Open portfolio
- $16.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded266
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.21at 0.313Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
- +$43.40at 0.392Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$42.15at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$39.72at 0.287Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$39.27at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 19:28 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0077547032 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 19:27 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0086374682 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 19:26 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006774494 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 19:00 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0055970138 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 19:00 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0043876584 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 18:41 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 18:41 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 18:41 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 18:41 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999923 | $5.00 |
| 03-07 10:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2544227978 | $4.91 |
| 03-07 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1096054029 | $4.98 |
| 03-07 10:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $10.12 |
| 03-07 10:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $12.63 |
| 03-07 10:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.389999986 | $9.72 |
| 03-07 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |