PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. Unchanged over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.003 to 0.003. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0031,8571,857
0.0044,8016,657
0.0051,8398,496
0.00868,502
0.00968,507
0.0111008,607
0.012358,642
0.018808,722
0.0941158,837
0.150128,848
0.199208,868
0.200138,881

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0025,5275,527
0.0019,11714,644

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9985,5275,527
0.9999,11714,644

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9971,8571,857
0.9964,8016,657
0.9951,8398,496
0.99268,502
0.99168,507
0.9891008,607
0.988358,642
0.982808,722
0.9061158,837
0.850128,848
0.801208,868
0.800138,881

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
125-kooyanisqatsiYes5,514.48
fiterYes4,876.64
0xbE9DA80f590dfE84A343f4122db51896A627a829-1769704674926Yes3,221.6
0xB16B00B5Yes2,005.67
acc42020Yes1,249.47
ACaraYes773.41
0x85Be1DBEB4d12Cf0C87D9e0E72382303EF34FE8B-1770218522391Yes738.06
xtxpleasecallmeYes622.4
PolyJaguarYes493.58
awgraewrfaYes471.27
xvspYes393.98
0x597f1a30c93298C3F26b6F3faB92746B2F74702C-1781483990698Yes371.24
donthackmeYes318.71
DenisonYes262.13
MHD1997Yes230.02
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes207
Ardtysrt01Yes200
0x4a9b…f0e6Yes200
Tiger88Yes200
EirikLYes200

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:46:51SELLNo0.9970$0.26
21:46:43SELLNo0.9972$1.83
21:42:12BUYNo0.9982$2.03
08:26:06SELLNo0.9971$0.96
08:21:28BUYNo0.9981$1.00
07:32:25SELLNo0.9971$1.05
07:26:36BUYNo0.9981$1.07
14:56:42SELLNo0.9970$0.05
14:31:10SELLNo0.9970$0.11
14:31:03SELLNo0.9970$0.38
14:30:57SELLNo0.9970$0.42
14:25:40BUYNo0.9981$1.00
01:25:13SELLNo0.9970$0.10
01:10:12SELLNo0.9970$0.10
01:10:03SELLNo0.9970$0.34
01:09:55SELLNo0.9970$0.02
01:07:10SELLNo0.9970$0.10
01:07:03SELLNo0.9970$0.34
01:02:51BUYNo0.9981$1.00
00:08:36SELLNo0.9971$1.01
00:04:19BUYNo0.9981$1.00
21:09:55SELLNo0.9970$0.38
21:09:48SELLNo0.9971$1.45
21:06:13BUYNo0.9982$1.81
20:10:58SELLNo0.9970$0.20