PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.003 to 0.004. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0044,5484,548
0.0052,7857,334
0.0062,0899,423
0.007209,443
0.008209,463
0.0111009,563
0.012359,597
0.018809,677
0.0941159,792
0.172109,802
0.17359,807
0.208309,837

Spread0.002Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0027,8247,824
0.00113,06720,891

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9987,8247,824
0.99913,06720,891

Spread0.002Mid0.997

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9964,5484,548
0.9952,7857,334
0.9942,0899,423
0.993209,443
0.992209,463
0.9891009,563
0.988359,597
0.982809,677
0.9061159,792
0.828109,802
0.82759,807
0.792309,837

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
125-kooyanisqatsiYes6,267.46
0xbE9DA80f590dfE84A343f4122db51896A627a829-1769704674926Yes3,221.6
0xB16B00B5Yes2,438.09
fiterYes2,174.68
acc42020Yes1,249.47
ACaraYes773.41
0x85Be1DBEB4d12Cf0C87D9e0E72382303EF34FE8B-1770218522391Yes738.06
PolyJaguarYes493.58
cry.eth2Yes471.27
xvspYes393.98
HerrieDavisYes375.52
0x597f1a30c93298C3F26b6F3faB92746B2F74702C-1781483990698Yes371.24
donthackmeYes318.73
DenisonYes262.13
MHD1997Yes230.02
balthazarYes200.15
Ardtysrt01Yes200
0x4a9b…f0e6Yes200
Tiger88Yes200
EirikLYes200

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:46:09SELLNo0.9960$0.39
01:29:49SELLNo0.9960$0.05
01:23:22SELLNo0.9960$0.05
01:15:45SELLNo0.9960$0.11
01:15:40SELLNo0.9960$0.42
01:05:36SELLNo0.9960$0.12
01:05:31SELLNo0.9960$0.03
01:03:04BUYNo0.9981$1.00
00:35:48SELLNo0.9961$0.89
00:29:16BUYNo0.9981$1.00
20:07:55SELLNo0.9961$0.90
19:59:43SELLNo0.9961$0.55
19:59:36SELLNo0.9960$0.01
19:52:45BUYNo0.9982$1.52
19:12:13BUYNo0.99820$19.96
19:12:12BUYNo0.99810$9.98
19:12:12BUYNo0.99813$12.77
18:00:21SELLNo0.9961$0.79
17:37:37SELLNo0.9960$0.07
17:20:37SELLNo0.9960$0.13
17:05:07SELLNo0.9963$2.68
16:57:56BUYNo0.9982$2.46
16:56:44SELLNo0.9960$0.09
16:56:38SELLNo0.9960$0.31
16:56:30SELLNo0.9961$1.10