Ardtysrt01
0x1fc9776b33c40adf0ef9c1287d2810766dd1ace5
- Realised P&L
- $131.01
- Volume
- $6.91M
- Markets traded
- 6,109
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,109
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$330.08at 0.081Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
- +$302.90at 0.020Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 1?
- +$170.79at 0.054Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday?
- +$142.68at 0.747Will the Conservatives win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?
- +$141.12at 0.336Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 22:01 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.03 | $4.19 |
| 09-04 21:58 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.19 |
| 09-04 19:13 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.13 |
| 09-04 17:33 | Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-04 12:45 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.034 | $0.34 |
| 09-04 12:43 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.38 |
| 09-04 12:38 | Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089 | $0.89 |
| 09-01 07:45 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? | BUY | 0.083 | $3.30 |
| 09-01 07:44 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? | BUY | 0.097 | $1.35 |
| 08-26 08:10 | Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.11 |
| 08-23 12:51 | Will Gricelda Valencia de la Mora win the 2027 Colima Governor Election? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.21 |
| 08-22 13:34 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | BUY | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 08-22 09:21 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 20:48 | Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | BUY | 0.032 | $0.36 |
| 08-18 18:40 | Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.83 |