Ardtysrt01
0x1fc9776b33c40adf0ef9c1287d2810766dd1ace5
- Realised P&L
- $700.94
- Volume
- $6.91M
- Markets traded
- 6,371
- Open portfolio
- $634.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,371
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$330.08at 0.081Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
- +$302.90at 0.020Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 1?
- +$170.79at 0.054Will Eric Adams drop out by Friday?
- +$142.68at 0.747Will the Conservatives win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?
- +$141.12at 0.336Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:50 | Will the Parti Québécois win by less than 10 seats? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.38 |
| 10-05 14:17 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.53 |
| 10-05 14:13 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.53 |
| 10-04 22:11 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.3207875053 | $15.10 |
| 10-04 22:11 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.321 | $4.82 |
| 10-04 22:06 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.336 | $7.30 |
| 10-04 22:06 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.3357333333 | $12.59 |
| 10-04 22:02 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.436 | $9.80 |
| 10-04 22:02 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.436 | $5.89 |
| 10-04 22:02 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.564 | $4.65 |
| 10-04 22:02 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.435 | $3.92 |
| 10-04 22:02 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.565 | $5.08 |
| 10-04 21:52 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.5538333333 | $16.61 |
| 10-04 21:52 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.551 | $8.27 |
| 10-04 21:07 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.321 | $11.93 |