PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4a9bc229da99a0a54c105e012ec607c29e47f0e6

Realised P&L
$-48.12
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$1.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0060.004$0.70$0.50
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0090.003$0.60$1.19
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0070.002$0.30$1.18
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0060.001$0.01$0.08
Will the Colorado Avalanche make the NHL Playoffs? · No0.0080.000$0.00$1.68
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.35
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.40
Will Liverpool finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.34
Will Maxim Shabanov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.52
Will Kevin Fiala win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.97
Will Jaren Jackson Jr. lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.73
Will Martin Satriano be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.91
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.38
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.13
Will Connor Bedard win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.14

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-13 19:41Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.00740915$1.48
03-13 19:41Will Jingchao Xiong receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?BUY0.006825$1.36
03-13 19:41Will Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?BUY0.006$1.20
03-13 19:40Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY0.0057015$1.14
03-13 19:40Will CaSándra Claiborne be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY0.00919005$1.84
03-13 19:40Will Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?BUY0.0065848$1.32
03-13 19:40Will Panagioti Bartzis be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY0.008257$1.65
03-13 19:40Will Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?BUY0.00566$1.13
03-13 19:40Will Drake release a new song in 2026?BUY0.0087838091$1.31
03-13 19:40Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?BUY0.006$1.20
03-13 19:40Will the Colorado Avalanche make the NHL Playoffs?BUY0.00841325$1.68
03-13 19:40Will Kevin Fiala win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?BUY0.0085641026$0.67
03-13 19:40Will Brayden Point win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?BUY0.0082224939$0.74
03-13 19:40Will Connor Bedard win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?BUY0.005705$1.14
03-13 19:40Will Adam Larsson win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?BUY0.0095$1.90