MHD1997
0xfad4879c904e3507b4c4b7e70a06b183a99ea7f1
- Realised P&L
- $-85.08
- Volume
- $33.4k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $32.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.82at 0.189US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$47.65at 0.386Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$23.97at 0.780Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$17.21at 0.223Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$14.79at 0.575Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.209999974 | $4.43 |
| 04-02 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.209999974 | $4.43 |
| 04-02 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $4.54 |
| 04-02 22:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $8.98 |
| 04-02 22:44 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 04-02 18:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $5.38 |
| 04-02 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $4.50 |
| 04-02 18:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $9.58 |
| 04-02 18:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $4.34 |
| 04-02 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $4.35 |
| 04-02 18:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2345857535 | $17.80 |
| 04-02 18:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $22.23 |
| 04-02 18:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.209999974 | $4.43 |
| 04-02 18:21 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 03-27 10:35 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.00 |