Denison
0x0d5bbd0fa9be585cea0fc2b3d85928ce854275c5
- Realised P&L
- $-852.06
- Volume
- $158.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $7.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.102 | $3.80 | +$2.80 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.795 | 0.817 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.123 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.015 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.100 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.003 | $0.66 | −$1.34 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.55at 0.190Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.40at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$1.13at 0.073Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.019Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.009Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 11:49 | Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? | SELL | 0.095 | $6.17 |
| 07-23 11:27 | Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.55 |
| 07-23 11:23 | Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? | BUY | 0.0826100063 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 11:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0239024731 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 05:33 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3309997825 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 05:33 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999522 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 05:31 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 05:31 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 19:40 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 19:37 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.0429999921 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 19:36 | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 19:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.037 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 19:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.04 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 19:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0259999916 | $3.00 |