PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. Unchanged over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.003 to 0.004. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.005730730
0.0067131,443
0.0077132,156
0.0087132,868
0.0097133,581
0.0413,0006,581
0.150126,592
0.152136,605
0.192506,655
0.193656,720
0.200136,733
0.270756,808

Spread0.003Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00216,61516,615
0.00128,60945,224

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99816,61516,615
0.99928,60945,224

Spread0.003Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.995730730
0.9947131,443
0.9937132,156
0.9927132,868
0.9917133,581
0.9593,0006,581
0.850126,592
0.848136,605
0.808506,655
0.807656,720
0.800136,733
0.730756,808

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fiterYes3,671.79
125-kooyanisqatsiYes3,560.69
darik0200Yes3,000
0xf52b…bdf5Yes2,667.14
PolyJaguarYes2,583.84
0xbE9DA80f590dfE84A343f4122db51896A627a829-1769704674926Yes1,619.85
acc42020Yes1,249.13
planktonXDYes953.16
xtxpleasecallmeYes672.34
ACaraYes650.65
awgraewrfaYes471.27
0xf193…6e35Yes438.26
Husain1997Yes357.14
donthackmeYes301.76
HerrieDavisYes213.03
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758Yes209.25
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes202
0xc35E32CA98a58e697959A053c58A7823eE926D12-1768787705908Yes192.57
LornaPredictsYes180.07
0x1D36756fbAAED1433bF59c80b105396513d82A3b-1771747868231Yes166.67

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:49:09SELLNo0.9951$1.16
20:45:21BUYNo0.9981$1.22
19:21:13SELLNo0.9950$0.11
19:21:06SELLNo0.9951$0.92
19:17:13BUYNo0.9981$1.00
04:17:18SELLNo0.9970$0.23
04:08:15SELLNo0.9970$0.17
04:08:07SELLNo0.9971$0.59
04:02:49BUYNo0.9981$1.00
03:48:33SELLNo0.9971$0.99
03:45:00BUYNo0.9981$1.00
08:21:42SELLNo0.9950$0.22
08:21:34SELLNo0.9952$1.64
08:17:22BUYNo0.9982$1.80
08:16:18SELLNo0.9951$1.06
08:11:58BUYNo0.9981$1.11
07:14:48SELLNo0.9961$1.12
07:11:07BUYNo0.9981$1.09
00:11:48SELLNo0.9950$0.09
00:11:40SELLNo0.9950$0.06
00:11:22SELLNo0.9951$1.25
00:07:19BUYNo0.9981$1.43
23:54:10SELLNo0.9951$0.97
23:49:48BUYNo0.9981$1.00
19:35:24SELLNo0.9950$0.33