FunnyDude696969haha
0xf1938b5b8e35c92a69bdf538fe91a89ba76c6e35
- Realised P&L
- $-202.26
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $7.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro guilty of all counts? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.325 | $6.02 | +$1.02 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.004 | $1.53 | −$3.47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Walter Clayton Jr. win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.33at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
- +$67.02at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$46.78at 0.583Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$43.56at 0.731Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$31.66at 0.767Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03 08:07 | Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 06:55 | Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference? | SELL | 0.0024552629 | $1.10 |
| 04-03 06:36 | Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference? | BUY | 0.0112092903 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 06:36 | Will Walter Clayton Jr. win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 06:36 | Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 06:30 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.029331242 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 06:30 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0114087528 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 06:30 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.50 |
| 04-03 06:30 | Maduro guilty of all counts? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 06:25 | Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | BUY | 0.0401989598 | $5.00 |
| 04-03 06:24 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $5.00 |
| 03-20 21:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $9.69 |
| 03-20 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $9.69 |
| 03-20 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $9.39 |
| 03-19 23:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $9.59 |