PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf52bd1055547e8b7e79f37e19409dd639343bdf5

Realised P&L
$-790.20
Volume
$28.2k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$618.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0570.522$547.08+$487.19
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? · Yes0.0880.036$16.60$23.33
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1500.053$14.11$25.82
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? · Yes0.1600.055$13.73$26.20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.2130.004$9.33$558.51
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · Yes0.4120.091$8.86$31.07
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? · Yes0.4020.073$7.30$32.63
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0630.018$0.76$1.84
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0060.001$0.32$3.50
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0120.001$0.28$6.33
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$0.27$3.53
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0080.001$0.12$1.77
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0210.001$0.07$2.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 4? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$5.00
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$39.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-17 17:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or below on March 17?BUY0.0093842166$2.31
03-17 15:21Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or below on March 21?BUY0.5799999746$3.65
03-17 14:43Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 18?BUY0.6799999858$3.84
03-17 14:35Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?BUY0.6899999488$4.04
03-17 14:13Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 18?BUY0.65$4.25
03-17 13:11Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 18?BUY0.6299999578$4.48
03-17 12:41Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 18?BUY0.6499999793$4.71
03-17 11:35Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 17?BUY0.6440914724$4.96
03-17 11:26Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 17?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
03-17 11:26Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 17?BUY0.4506357706$5.00
03-17 11:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 18?BUY0.599999976$5.00
03-17 10:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on March 21?BUY0.99$5.00
03-17 10:39Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 21?BUY0.99$5.00
03-17 10:37Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 21?BUY0.99$5.00
03-17 10:35Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or below on March 21?BUY0.99$5.00