PolyBot

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Traders

darik0200

0x3eb89a6604bc4da72ac2f680200c3e421bf77b06

Realised P&L
$-514.93
Volume
$47.9k
Markets traded
476
Open portfolio
$15.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded476
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0180.004$10.50−$43.50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5810.439$3.77−$1.23
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.032$1.05−$3.95
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3400.069$0.20−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 15:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.82$4.97
09-24 16:21Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-24 16:21Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5809999986$5.00
09-23 14:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
09-20 16:57Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.2999999994$50.00
09-15 16:55Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.25$1.00
09-15 16:53Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5209999448$1.00
09-09 08:31Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.299999994$5.00
09-03 16:52Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 4?BUY0.2$1.00
09-03 16:52Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 4?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
09-03 16:51Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.025$1.00
09-02 06:07Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.54$1.00
09-01 16:04Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 2?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
09-01 14:05Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-01 13:58Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 2?BUY0.2599998648$1.00