Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-09

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.004 to 0.005. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.005	54	54
0.006	60	114
0.007	60	175
0.008	146	320
0.009	70	391
0.010	69	460
0.011	69	529
0.012	69	598
0.013	285	883
0.014	1,501	2,384
0.015	184	2,568
0.016	60	2,628

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	2,531	2,531
0.003	6,614	9,145
0.002	34,617	43,762
0.001	2,061,251	2,105,013

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	2,531	2,531
0.997	6,614	9,145
0.998	34,617	43,762
0.999	2,061,251	2,105,013

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.995	54	54
0.994	60	114
0.993	60	175
0.992	146	320
0.991	70	391
0.990	69	460
0.989	69	529
0.988	69	598
0.987	285	883
0.986	1,501	2,384
0.985	184	2,568
0.984	60	2,628

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Beerambo	Yes	3,747.67
xvsp	Yes	3,724.36
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	2,579.18
0xbE9DA80f590dfE84A343f4122db51896A627a829-1769704674926	Yes	1,668.57
acc42020	Yes	1,249
BabyGroot	Yes	1,244.66
49ddgfd	Yes	939.62
ACara	Yes	859.82
0x85Be1DBEB4d12Cf0C87D9e0E72382303EF34FE8B-1770218522391	Yes	644.77
0x000c…bcf3	Yes	595.89
thecaricature	Yes	480.76
cry.eth2	Yes	471.27
fiter	Yes	443.05
barooo001	Yes	296.24
0x8B223CA43Cc60f0F78E796e88887ECA74a8AC81E-1775727721372	Yes	250
0xee67…67a6	Yes	215.34
HerrieDavis	Yes	157.51
Kooyanisqatsi-100-fed	Yes	153.44
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
donthackme	Yes	106.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:11:23	SELL	No	0.995	0	$0.11
12:10:59	SELL	No	0.995	1	$0.99
11:17:24	BUY	No	0.996	1	$1.03
09:23:38	SELL	No	0.995	1	$0.95
08:51:45	BUY	No	0.996	1	$1.00
08:49:53	SELL	No	0.995	2	$1.75
08:49:05	BUY	No	0.996	2	$1.76
08:08:47	SELL	No	0.995	1	$0.68
07:26:20	SELL	No	0.995	1	$1.27
06:58:35	BUY	No	0.996	2	$1.96
04:57:21	SELL	No	0.993	37	$36.43
04:56:59	BUY	No	0.996	37	$36.55
02:07:00	SELL	No	0.993	1	$1.20
01:35:57	SELL	No	0.993	28	$27.76
01:35:18	BUY	No	0.996	28	$27.85
01:34:45	SELL	No	0.9934216867	27	$27.21
01:34:15	BUY	No	0.996	27	$27.29
01:31:51	SELL	No	0.994	28	$27.41
01:31:21	BUY	No	0.996	28	$27.47
23:37:15	SELL	No	0.9941404266	42	$41.49
23:36:39	BUY	No	0.996	42	$41.57
22:49:20	SELL	No	0.995	4	$3.83
22:48:45	BUY	No	0.996	4	$3.84
22:33:38	SELL	No	0.995	6	$6.07
22:33:18	BUY	No	0.996	6	$6.08