Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. Unchanged over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.004 to 0.004. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	677	677
0.005	701	1,378
0.006	701	2,080
0.007	701	2,781
0.014	1,245	4,026
0.015	99	4,124
0.105	30	4,154
0.201	30	4,184
0.202	25	4,209
0.221	45	4,254
0.222	244	4,498
0.436	550	5,048

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.003	5,745	5,745
0.002	25,735	31,480
0.001	8,064	39,544

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.997	5,745	5,745
0.998	25,735	31,480
0.999	8,064	39,544

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	677	677
0.995	701	1,378
0.994	701	2,080
0.993	701	2,781
0.986	1,245	4,026
0.985	99	4,124
0.895	30	4,154
0.799	30	4,184
0.798	25	4,209
0.779	45	4,254
0.778	244	4,498
0.564	550	5,048

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Beerambo	Yes	3,747.67
xvsp	Yes	3,724.36
125-kooyanisqatsi	Yes	2,780.87
fiter	Yes	2,246.88
0xbE9DA80f590dfE84A343f4122db51896A627a829-1769704674926	Yes	1,668.57
49ddgfd	Yes	1,249.89
acc42020	Yes	1,249
BabyGroot	Yes	1,244.66
ACara	Yes	859.82
0x85Be1DBEB4d12Cf0C87D9e0E72382303EF34FE8B-1770218522391	Yes	644.77
0x000c…bcf3	Yes	595.89
thecaricature	Yes	480.76
cry.eth2	Yes	471.27
barooo001	Yes	296.24
HerrieDavis	Yes	269.27
0x8B223CA43Cc60f0F78E796e88887ECA74a8AC81E-1775727721372	Yes	250
planktonXD	Yes	170.24
Kooyanisqatsi-100-fed	Yes	153.44
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934	Yes	150
donthackme	Yes	106.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:35:47	SELL	No	0.996	1	$1.23
02:35:29	BUY	No	0.9969999984	1	$1.23
00:28:16	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.18
00:28:10	SELL	No	0.996	1	$1.33
00:24:10	BUY	No	0.9969999993	2	$1.51
00:11:10	SELL	No	0.996	3	$2.87
00:10:59	BUY	No	0.9969999993	3	$2.88
23:35:17	BUY	No	0.997	5	$4.99
22:04:52	SELL	No	0.996	1	$1.43
22:04:08	BUY	No	0.9969999993	1	$1.44
21:53:29	SELL	No	0.996	4	$3.53
21:52:49	BUY	No	0.9969999997	4	$3.53
21:04:43	SELL	No	0.996	0	$0.20
21:04:37	SELL	No	0.996	1	$0.80
21:01:12	BUY	No	0.997	1	$1.00
18:18:57	SELL	No	0.996	1	$0.96
18:14:03	BUY	No	0.997	1	$1.00
17:17:19	BUY	No	0.997	10	$9.97
17:17:19	BUY	No	0.997	13	$12.76
17:10:31	SELL	No	0.996	1	$1.34
17:10:19	BUY	No	0.997	1	$1.35
16:32:54	SELL	No	0.996	1	$1.12
16:32:24	BUY	No	0.9969999991	1	$1.12
15:30:00	SELL	No	0.996	3	$2.59
15:29:27	BUY	No	0.9969999992	3	$2.60