PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x000c8cb93bb5fd4c9f292c6b4c5f7c021bb6bcf3

Realised P&L
$-238.5k
Volume
$21.34M
Markets traded
406
Open portfolio
$27.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded406
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9870.997$11.5k+$105.90
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9490.923$3.5k$96.76
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0310.029$3.3k$338.65
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5630.925$2.2k+$851.29
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.3830.075$1.9k$7.9k
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9760.973$1.4k$4.66
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2920.315$705.61+$52.25
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.015$598.22+$75.37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2010.221$510.27+$45.18
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1050.154$433.06+$136.13
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4060.512$278.20+$57.67
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2200.165$218.27$72.96
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1330.105$202.16$54.68
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3110.360$152.27+$20.88
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0460.025$109.93$89.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 01:46Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?BUY0.08$0.80
07-19 21:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0789999936$10.55
07-19 21:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.904$147.84
07-19 21:19Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3149999993$293.30
07-19 21:07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.054999999$49.09
07-19 21:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.637$549.28
07-19 21:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.6389633943$3.8k
07-19 21:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.6439989311$6.0k
07-19 21:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.646$598.99
07-19 21:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.646$1.4k
07-19 20:18Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1199999978$45.79
07-19 20:01Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.393999998$72.35
07-19 19:28Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1499999976$46.51
07-19 19:28Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.1299999977$46.07
07-19 18:49Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4149999997$261.76