0x000c8cb93bb5fd4c9f292c6b4c5f7c021bb6bcf3
- Realised P&L
- $-238.5k
- Volume
- $21.34M
- Markets traded
- 406
- Open portfolio
- $27.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded406
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$148.0kat 0.336Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$60.8kat 0.646Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$48.7kat 0.335Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$46.5kat 0.322Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$45.9kat 0.389Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 01:46 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 07-19 21:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0789999936 | $10.55 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.904 | $147.84 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3149999993 | $293.30 |
| 07-19 21:07 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.054999999 | $49.09 |
| 07-19 21:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.637 | $549.28 |
| 07-19 21:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6389633943 | $3.8k |
| 07-19 21:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6439989311 | $6.0k |
| 07-19 21:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.646 | $598.99 |
| 07-19 21:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.646 | $1.4k |
| 07-19 20:18 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1199999978 | $45.79 |
| 07-19 20:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.393999998 | $72.35 |
| 07-19 19:28 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $46.51 |
| 07-19 19:28 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1299999977 | $46.07 |
| 07-19 18:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4149999997 | $261.76 |