PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8B223CA43Cc60f0F78E796e88887ECA74a8AC81E-1775727721372

0x8b223ca43cc60f0f78e796e88887eca74a8ac81e

Realised P&L
$-15.24
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$2.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$0.88$0.12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.045$0.64$0.36
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.004$0.50$0.50
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 08:52Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
09-02 08:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.59999994$2.00
09-02 08:31Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.004$0.67
09-02 08:30Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.34
09-02 08:30Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.033$0.17
07-07 00:38Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-07 00:37Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
06-22 13:44Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.006999993$1.00
06-22 13:44Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
06-22 13:44Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0058723354$1.00
06-22 13:44Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.005999994$1.00
06-22 05:30Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0519999513$1.00
06-22 05:30Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
06-22 05:28Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-22 05:28Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.1399998824$1.00