PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

49ddgfd

0x907007003964c04f45505730266053427d58e32c

Realised P&L
$-28.79
Volume
$288.1k
Markets traded
968
Open portfolio
$344.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded968
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 15:00OKX IPO in 2026?SELL0.07$0.88
08-23 17:48Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?SELL0.15$0.78
08-17 01:08Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?SELL0.039$0.01
08-15 07:44Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.34$4.52
08-15 07:04Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 Action of the Year?SELL0.011$0.06
08-15 07:01Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 Action of the Year?SELL0.011$0.13
08-15 06:57Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 Action of the Year?SELL0.011$0.13
08-15 06:54Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 Action of the Year?SELL0.011$0.13
08-14 22:07Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$3.12
08-14 04:37OKX IPO in 2026?SELL0.07$4.00
08-14 03:47Will Sydney Johnson win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?SELL0.008$0.05
08-14 03:43Will Sydney Johnson win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?SELL0.008$0.07
08-13 14:50Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.047$0.25
08-13 14:47Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.047$0.54
08-13 13:58Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Ricky Simón next?SELL0.013$0.13