Beerambo
0xaa46d752750eba329f6c6d8d6e85f2bac2cd733f
- Realised P&L
- $-157.45
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $137.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.182 | $51.53 | +$27.53 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · No | 0.470 | 1.000 | $42.55 | +$22.55 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.025 | $29.91 | −$170.09 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.004 | $13.12 | −$136.88 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 05:56 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0849999968 | $24.00 |
| 04-08 05:54 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 04-08 05:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 15:04 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 01-28 15:04 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 01-22 15:30 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999987 | $80.00 |
| 01-20 15:31 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 01-20 08:11 | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 08:08 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 18:29 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0339660308 | $10.00 |
| 01-19 14:38 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999978 | $60.00 |
| 01-18 06:57 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.046486875 | $100.00 |
| 01-18 04:49 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0313179924 | $50.00 |
| 01-12 22:25 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999987 | $120.00 |