PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.949. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.953. Range 0.947 to 0.953. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.955100100
0.956153253
0.960151404
0.96130434
0.96450484
0.96679563
0.9674761,039
0.9701991,238
0.9731851,423
0.979281,450
0.980841,534
0.987421,576

Spread0.012Mid0.949

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9432020
0.942403423
0.92920442
0.92845487
0.92756543
0.903155698
0.902161859
0.85720879
0.85410889
0.8425001,389
0.7423271,716
0.69071,723

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0572020
0.058403423
0.07120442
0.07245487
0.07356543
0.097155698
0.098161859
0.14320879
0.14610889
0.1585001,389
0.2583271,716
0.31071,723

Spread0.012Mid0.051

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.045100100
0.044153253
0.040151404
0.03930434
0.03650484
0.03479563
0.0334761,039
0.0301991,238
0.0271851,423
0.021281,450
0.020841,534
0.013421,576

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SitsToPeeYes2,378.67
macrosteaksYes600
GluedYes263
cowcatYes119
0x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-1730491999430Yes106.51
SeutervoinenYes100
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231Yes35
seldixYes34.04
Magician5342Yes30
wqeewqeadawfawfwaYes30
sanlitou2026p1Yes20.71
ghorrockYes10.06
morningmyYes6.46
xujimatrixYes5
0xed16…9314Yes2.35
0xf528…7e5bYes2
15robYes1.08
0xa5ef…2966No1,252.25
Digital-BoyNo664.86
rocky42005No549.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:35:41BUYNo0.057306166921$1.21
09:35:41BUYNo0.056277263933$1.84
08:29:56BUYYes0.95534$32.51
17:34:32BUYNo0.054999999224$1.30
17:34:32BUYNo0.054999999224$1.30
17:34:32BUYNo0.05520$1.10
16:25:39BUYNo0.055100$5.50
04:22:39SELLYes0.955$4.75
23:39:24SELLYes0.958$7.93
10:08:05BUYYes0.9545$4.77
07:36:02SELLNo0.0461$0.05
03:10:11BUYNo0.0530$1.50
20:13:30BUYNo0.0513$0.63
20:13:27BUYNo0.0530$1.50
20:13:27BUYNo0.0566$3.30
20:13:27BUYNo0.0520$1.00
19:40:41SELLYes0.9510$9.50
18:34:17BUYNo0.0521$1.05
15:17:17SELLNo0.0540$2.00
15:17:08SELLNo0.05140$2.04
15:12:12BUYYes0.94820$18.96
15:12:03BUYYes0.9446590909176$166.26
15:12:03BUYYes0.94924$22.78
15:12:03BUYYes0.94940$37.96
14:08:26SELLYes0.9449$8.04