Seutervoinen
0xfaf680c17a9cca24ff0773ae2d9f7db49c02cc47
- Realised P&L
- $115.9k
- Volume
- $6.88M
- Markets traded
- 577
- Open portfolio
- $227.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded577
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.8kat 0.501Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$14.3kat 0.385Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$9.5kat 0.464Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$8.8kat 0.031Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$8.1kat 0.178Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:15 | Ohio State vs. USC | BUY | 0.92 | $3.8k |
| 10-31 23:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $784.88 |
| 10-31 22:57 | Spread: USC (-14.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $983.20 |
| 10-31 18:33 | Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.964 | $74.23 |
| 10-31 18:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 02:58 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $262.79 |
| 10-30 14:00 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $196.42 |
| 10-30 07:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.85 | $744.16 |
| 10-28 02:00 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.963533243 | $988.81 |
| 10-27 22:26 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8686636896 | $1.3k |
| 10-27 14:55 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 10-26 15:59 | Will Josh Turek run ahead of Rob Sand? | BUY | 0.95 | $18.99 |
| 10-26 05:33 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.99 | $990.00 |
| 10-25 22:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3996542342 | $2.7k |
| 10-25 16:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $734.73 |