Magician5342
0x4ae4c0bf86314dd182a32dfabddd7424068bf84a
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $146.5k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $17.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$702.04at 0.891Will Jeromie Whalen be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?
- +$609.97at 0.878Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
- +$498.31at 0.895Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?
- +$305.03at 0.965Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
- +$248.59at 0.966Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:50 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.985 | $39.40 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.985 | $128.05 |
| 09-18 02:49 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.985 | $68.95 |
| 09-18 02:49 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 09-18 02:49 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.984 | $39.36 |
| 09-18 00:47 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 09-18 00:43 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 09-18 00:42 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 09-18 00:33 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $80.08 |