morningmy
0x993e53165fa0cb90bb7ff7823f2554630578b902
- Realised P&L
- $13.37
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $216.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.954 | 0.969 | $56.89 | +$0.88 |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.940 | $56.48 | +$0.00 |
| Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.989 | $49.04 | +$0.47 |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.955 | $47.51 | −$0.67 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat? · Yes | 0.942 | 0.948 | $6.13 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.44at 0.944Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?
- +$1.96at 0.960Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- +$1.11at 0.972Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$0.99at 0.956Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
- +$0.96at 0.940Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 10:12 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.981 | $49.05 |
| 04-08 08:20 | Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.975 | $19.91 |