PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xed165972d2ea6dbf719a9fc6f234566090c79314

Realised P&L
$-467.15
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
2,784
Open portfolio
$140.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,784
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7800.954$2.44+$0.44
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7900.963$2.44+$0.44
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7200.875$2.43+$0.43
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.7200.850$2.36+$0.36
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat? · Yes0.7900.925$2.34+$0.34
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? · Yes0.7500.875$2.33+$0.33
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8200.935$2.28+$0.28
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat? · Yes0.8200.935$2.28+$0.28
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? · Yes0.7700.875$2.27+$0.27
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat? · Yes0.7900.895$2.27+$0.27
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat? · Yes0.8200.925$2.26+$0.26
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? · Yes0.8300.935$2.25+$0.25
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat? · Yes0.8400.945$2.25+$0.25
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat? · Yes0.8500.956$2.25+$0.25
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat? · Yes0.8000.895$2.24+$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:04Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD?BUY0.988$2.00
09-16 23:57Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.7699998807$2.00
09-16 21:22Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?BUY0.96$2.00
09-16 09:25Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026?BUY0.9899995199$2.00
09-15 22:00Solana Up or Down - September 15, 6PM ETBUY0.51$2.55
09-15 19:00XRP Up or Down - September 15, 3PM ETBUY0.5199999792$4.00
09-15 18:45XRP Up or Down - September 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.3699999935$4.00
09-15 14:45Dogecoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5443028995$3.00
09-15 13:45Solana Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.5599999328$2.00
09-15 03:45Sweden Parliamentary Election: KD Over/Under 6%?BUY0.982999998$2.00
09-14 15:05Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026?BUY0.9649999349$2.00
09-14 00:10Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?BUY0.9889999955$2.00
09-13 19:38Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?BUY0.96$2.00
09-13 19:22Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.9819999411$2.00
09-10 23:19Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?BUY0.8699999913$2.00