naldor
0xed165972d2ea6dbf719a9fc6f234566090c79314
- Realised P&L
- $-865.66
- Volume
- $35.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,817
- Open portfolio
- $136.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,817
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.15at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET
- +$55.23at 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
- +$46.11at 0.487XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2PM ET
- +$44.39at 0.640BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$29.74at 0.587HYPE Up or Down - May 28, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.4k |
| 10-16 23:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.776 | $555.62 |
| 10-12 10:00 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9899999119 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 03:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 02:15 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 02:00 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1866666617 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 02:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 01:58 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 21:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8437396974 | $1000.00 |
| 10-06 01:51 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 01:51 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998807 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 01:51 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 01:51 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 01:51 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 01:51 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | BUY | 0.7689999804 | $2.00 |