PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.957. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.955. Range 0.939 to 0.967. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.962474474
0.96320494
0.96420514
0.967200714
0.9794231,137
0.9801,0002,137
0.984342,171
0.9854902,661
0.9931192,780
0.9947613,541
0.9951,8205,361
0.9961,4306,791

Spread0.011Mid0.956

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9511111
0.9423647
0.9362067
0.9341178
0.93364142
0.93028171
0.92030201
0.90181282
0.900250532
0.82536568
0.815100668
0.812100768

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0491111
0.0583647
0.0642067
0.0661178
0.06764142
0.07028171
0.08030201
0.09981282
0.100250532
0.17536568
0.185100668
0.188100768

Spread0.011Mid0.043

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.038474474
0.03720494
0.03620514
0.033200714
0.0214231,137
0.0201,0002,137
0.016342,171
0.0154902,661
0.0071192,780
0.0067613,541
0.0051,8205,361
0.0041,4306,791

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
macrosteaksYes2,099.99
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes803.43
0x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-1780903307589Yes800
linethYes577
IOrizenYes362.26
dckxYes306
BobbyBakedBeansYes214.06
singularitymanYes192
stephansmith2004Yes187.5
0x97b457Ae08fc1041f3d5ca833a668B9471d5d794-1783066720036Yes128
pythia-agentYes51.13
tomkat07Yes48.53
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231Yes45
lonehighwayYes30.68
sanlitou2026p1Yes20.69
mwenyaYes19.68
cigarettesYes14
Elias.ThornwellYes11.21
big-bird1Yes8.51
FatmacYes5.77

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:21:15BUYNo0.0487$0.33
19:48:05BUYYes0.95699999024$3.82
01:20:13SELLNo0.04170677137$1.55
00:31:34BUYYes0.957050937421$19.80
23:37:22BUYYes0.94111$10.78
23:37:19SELLNo0.060401682429$1.72
23:37:18BUYYes0.9420$18.80
23:37:18BUYYes0.9420$18.80
23:37:18BUYYes0.949$8.02
23:37:15BUYYes0.93920$18.78
23:37:13BUYYes0.93920$18.78
23:37:13BUYYes0.938999999749$45.57
20:25:42BUYNo0.04678821671,076$50.35
20:23:03SELLYes0.95623$21.99
20:22:51SELLYes0.955140$133.70
15:16:07SELLYes0.95530$28.65
14:45:12SELLYes0.9678$74.88
14:44:01SELLYes0.9681$77.76
14:42:22SELLNo0.042,000$80.00
21:31:09SELLNo0.0493$3.72
02:08:45SELLYes0.9584$79.80
10:22:24BUYYes0.965$4.80
17:46:11SELLYes0.942$1.88
04:36:26SELLNo0.057$0.33
01:55:26BUYNo0.0620$1.20