tomkat07
0x56954e8aafb95d48719ac1256de567a35c4b002b
- Realised P&L
- $-135.56
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.84at 0.160Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$19.90at 0.338Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$7.55at 0.480GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
- +$6.16at 0.080US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- +$4.64at 0.542Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 03:35 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $30.96 |
| 09-12 03:35 | Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.209 | $7.52 |
| 09-11 21:06 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.0339999996 | $2.32 |
| 09-11 21:06 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0579999996 | $3.94 |
| 09-11 21:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.9509999993 | $59.81 |
| 09-11 21:06 | Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.77 |
| 09-11 21:06 | Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.9430547392 | $59.86 |
| 09-11 21:06 | Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9209999945 | $59.67 |
| 09-11 01:10 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.939 | $4.69 |
| 09-11 01:10 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.10 |
| 09-11 01:07 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.949 | $25.09 |
| 09-11 01:04 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.949 | $25.41 |
| 09-07 21:15 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-07 21:15 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-07 20:30 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat? | BUY | 0.8699999994 | $54.64 |