0x97b457Ae08fc1041f3d5ca833a668B9471d5d794-1783066720036
0x97b457ae08fc1041f3d5ca833a668b9471d5d794
- Realised P&L
- $277.96
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.021Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$148.27at 0.826Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$133.58at 0.856Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$130.97at 0.892Will SWIM be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?
- +$112.54at 0.933Will FURIA Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:12 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $20.21 |
| 09-16 20:34 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.38 |
| 09-15 20:43 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4199999998 | $673.00 |
| 09-15 19:10 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.51 |
| 09-15 18:33 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.51 |
| 09-15 18:15 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4141385456 | $1.0k |
| 09-15 17:23 | Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.89 | $222.50 |
| 09-15 16:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5399999992 | $211.36 |
| 09-14 04:36 | Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0106139019 | $13.70 |
| 09-11 19:21 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6640191692 | $613.00 |
| 09-10 00:35 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.76 |
| 09-09 23:03 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999998 | $219.10 |
| 09-09 22:58 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999997 | $224.00 |
| 09-09 18:20 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $721.90 |
| 09-07 23:53 | Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.10 |