PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

IOrizen

0x3dcb429e4b40ff7916d389a7dce53b489596324d

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$276.1k
Markets traded
300
Open portfolio
$19.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded300
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2800.935$2.6k+$1.8k
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4800.945$1.9k+$930.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7380.955$1.6k+$353.57
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.957$1.5k+$519.05
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.945$1.4k+$667.50
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.956$1.2k+$179.63
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4740.905$1.0k+$499.79
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7160.900$1.0k+$205.18
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8720.964$884.23+$84.23
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7960.895$731.19+$81.20
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.835$662.70+$162.70
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9090.950$522.50+$22.50
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8320.835$501.87+$1.87
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9130.976$406.17+$26.22
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? · Yes0.7330.785$374.69+$24.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:22Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6974999995$50.00
07-19 19:25Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6049999983$100.00
07-19 19:25Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.395$96.34
07-19 17:25Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999976$100.00
07-18 19:53Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?BUY0.89$200.00
07-18 19:44Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?BUY0.8$210.00
07-18 08:23Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.8099999993$100.00
07-18 08:14Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?BUY0.6675600668$100.00
07-15 19:21England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4649999984$75.00
07-14 19:39France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6449999979$50.00
07-14 19:35France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6149999977$100.00
07-12 02:52Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.8099999986$70.00
07-12 02:52Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.2988704654$73.41
07-12 00:52Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7574999993$160.00
07-12 00:31Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5699999985$140.00