IOrizen
0x3dcb429e4b40ff7916d389a7dce53b489596324d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $276.9k
- Markets traded
- 308
- Open portfolio
- $21.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded308
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$554.22at 0.891Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$446.17at 0.691Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$396.31at 0.900Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$381.99at 0.837Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
- +$376.53at 0.869Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9499999993 | $276.00 |
| 11-01 23:44 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $282.48 |
| 11-01 16:48 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.84 | $245.13 |
| 11-01 16:40 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.9386279605 | $400.00 |
| 11-01 16:38 | Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $200.00 |
| 10-19 19:33 | Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat? | BUY | 0.9389895229 | $500.00 |
| 10-05 06:57 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $150.00 |
| 10-05 06:36 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5899999994 | $250.00 |
| 07-19 21:22 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6974999995 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 19:25 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6049999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 19:25 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.395 | $96.34 |
| 07-19 17:25 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 19:53 | Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 07-18 19:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.8 | $210.00 |
| 07-18 08:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |