PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

IOrizen

0x3dcb429e4b40ff7916d389a7dce53b489596324d

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$276.9k
Markets traded
308
Open portfolio
$21.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded308
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2800.955$2.7k+$1.9k
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4800.967$1.9k+$973.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7380.961$1.6k+$362.52
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.972$1.5k+$542.06
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.945$1.4k+$667.50
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.979$1.2k+$208.64
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4740.895$1.0k+$488.19
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7160.920$1.0k+$227.52
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8720.969$888.36+$88.36
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7960.845$690.35+$40.35
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.705$559.52+$59.52
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9090.952$523.32+$23.32
Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat? · Yes0.9390.964$513.05+$13.05
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9130.974$405.13+$25.18
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? · Yes0.7330.840$400.94+$50.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:45Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9499999993$276.00
11-01 23:44Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.47$282.48
11-01 16:48Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?BUY0.84$245.13
11-01 16:40Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?BUY0.9386279605$400.00
11-01 16:38Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?BUY0.8299999993$200.00
10-19 19:33Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?BUY0.9389895229$500.00
10-05 06:57Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.86$150.00
10-05 06:36Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.5899999994$250.00
07-19 21:22Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6974999995$50.00
07-19 19:25Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6049999983$100.00
07-19 19:25Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.395$96.34
07-19 17:25Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999976$100.00
07-18 19:53Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?BUY0.89$200.00
07-18 19:44Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?BUY0.8$210.00
07-18 08:23Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.8099999993$100.00