singularityman
0x879752bca887bc247ba883a52bc45e9c6be6bbbe
- Realised P&L
- $45.8k
- Volume
- $1.21M
- Markets traded
- 560
- Open portfolio
- $41.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded560
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.0kat 0.536Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$10.0kat 0.484Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$6.1kat 0.188Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
- +$5.9kat 0.607Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$4.4kat 0.758Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:25 | Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.154 | $23.10 |
| 08-02 16:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $43.02 |
| 08-02 12:00 | Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.3749800797 | $94.12 |
| 08-02 11:57 | Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | BUY | 0.6 | $213.00 |
| 08-02 04:21 | Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.4292248062 | $110.74 |
| 08-02 02:25 | Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.49 | $123.48 |
| 08-01 13:55 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $11.62 |
| 07-31 16:56 | Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.019 | $2.85 |
| 07-31 06:17 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? | BUY | 0.1180454545 | $18.18 |
| 07-31 06:03 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.0937101266 | $7.40 |
| 07-31 06:03 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.028 | $2.21 |
| 07-31 06:01 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.82 | $157.44 |
| 07-31 02:46 | Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.16 | $49.28 |
| 07-30 23:25 | Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.5511308951 | $22.91 |
| 07-30 18:57 | Will 240 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.74 |