singularityman
0x879752bca887bc247ba883a52bc45e9c6be6bbbe
- Realised P&L
- $70.1k
- Volume
- $1.31M
- Markets traded
- 639
- Open portfolio
- $45.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded639
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.0kat 0.536Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$10.0kat 0.484Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$6.6kat 0.467Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$6.1kat 0.188Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
- +$5.9kat 0.607Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 00:51 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.89 | $181.44 |
| 09-14 13:48 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.8234365065 | $352.23 |
| 09-14 13:37 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4989285714 | $139.70 |
| 09-14 03:58 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.7924313345 | $358.91 |
| 09-13 23:46 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.76 | $380.00 |
| 09-13 19:39 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.7494 | $374.70 |
| 09-13 19:35 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.5762496876 | $461.12 |
| 09-12 14:23 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.626414673 | $392.76 |
| 09-11 00:09 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | SELL | 0.8612913907 | $260.11 |
| 09-10 17:50 | Will Concepción Sánchez González win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? | BUY | 0.004 | $3.21 |
| 09-08 19:36 | Will Michigan Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.7534473495 | $229.97 |
| 09-08 15:47 | Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.0402 | $14.07 |
| 09-08 04:31 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 09-08 04:31 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000? | BUY | 0.58 | $28.56 |
| 09-08 04:18 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 55% or more? | BUY | 0.82 | $129.56 |