lonehighway
0x0778fba3967bf6a631217058e577785747d273d1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $743.5k
- Markets traded
- 359
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded359
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.146Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
- +$821.75at 0.149Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$621.74at 0.394Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$582.66at 0.957Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
- +$202.28at 0.002Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 07:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.968 | $96.80 |
| 10-11 04:49 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $946.67 |
| 10-09 00:51 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0979999077 | $180.43 |
| 10-09 00:35 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $41.93 |
| 10-09 00:34 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.077952381 | $16.37 |
| 10-09 00:33 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0678730964 | $10.70 |
| 09-17 19:44 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $28.79 |
| 07-12 07:53 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:53 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:43 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:29 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:29 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:27 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 00:13 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY | 0.989 | $821.61 |
| 07-09 00:13 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31? | BUY | 0.985 | $128.56 |