PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lonehighway

0x0778fba3967bf6a631217058e577785747d273d1

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$729.9k
Markets traded
356
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded356
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat? · Yes0.9500.968$426.71+$7.72
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat? · Yes0.0730.034$270.86$316.72
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat? · Yes0.9220.963$270.60+$11.52
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8000.895$242.03+$25.69
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.8340.961$223.43+$29.48
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? · Yes0.7700.890$187.79+$25.32
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8920.906$166.22+$2.56
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5100.705$149.47+$41.34
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? · Yes0.6610.745$127.39+$14.41
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? · Yes0.9410.950$109.57+$0.96
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat? · Yes0.1900.165$106.09$16.07
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-01 House seat? · Yes0.9300.969$96.85+$3.85
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat? · Yes0.9300.950$95.00+$2.00
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat? · Yes0.9200.945$94.50+$2.50
Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat? · Yes0.7970.935$93.50+$13.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:44Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.34$28.79
07-12 07:53Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9259999722$1.00
07-12 07:53Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9259999722$1.00
07-12 07:43Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9259999722$1.00
07-12 07:29Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9259999722$1.00
07-12 07:29Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9259999722$1.00
07-12 07:27Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9259999722$1.00
07-09 00:13Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?BUY0.989$821.61
07-09 00:13Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?BUY0.985$128.56
07-09 00:13Will Graham Platner drop out by July 13?BUY0.98$6.51
07-09 00:12Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?SELL0.0145328245$71.21
07-09 00:12Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31?SELL0.028$2.83
07-09 00:12Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?SELL0.0201998759$79.74
07-09 00:11Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?BUY0.27$1.45
07-09 00:10Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?BUY0.59$7.67