lonehighway
0x0778fba3967bf6a631217058e577785747d273d1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $727.1k
- Markets traded
- 355
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded355
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.141Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
- +$826.52at 0.145Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$628.88at 0.392Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$611.95at 0.956Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
- +$210.50at 0.002Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 07:53 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:53 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:43 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:29 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:29 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 07:27 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9259999722 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 00:13 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY | 0.989 | $821.61 |
| 07-09 00:13 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31? | BUY | 0.985 | $128.56 |
| 07-09 00:13 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 13? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.51 |
| 07-09 00:12 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | SELL | 0.0145328245 | $71.21 |
| 07-09 00:12 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31? | SELL | 0.028 | $2.83 |
| 07-09 00:12 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | SELL | 0.0201998759 | $79.74 |
| 07-09 00:11 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.45 |
| 07-09 00:10 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | BUY | 0.59 | $7.67 |
| 07-09 00:10 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8? | BUY | 0.6273469388 | $15.37 |