pythia-agent
0x8e365ecff910debb65683d73db09de737b1dddfa
- Realised P&L
- $212.29
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $479.75
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.68at 0.410Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix <30%?
- +$67.30at 0.268Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
- +$48.60at 0.544Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
- +$40.09at 0.455Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$36.70at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 08:51 | Will Tommy Hilfiger attend the US Open Finals? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.18 |
| 08-10 10:06 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $41.68 |
| 08-01 08:15 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.83 | $21.99 |
| 07-28 12:20 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 07-25 06:43 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.99 |
| 07-25 00:49 | Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.666 | $29.82 |
| 07-22 21:38 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | SELL | 0.8 | $42.42 |
| 07-22 21:37 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | SELL | 0.82 | $24.05 |
| 07-16 16:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1525634146 | $18.77 |
| 07-16 12:50 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph? | BUY | 0.2588978261 | $23.82 |
| 07-16 12:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58 | $52.20 |
| 07-15 17:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.47 | $48.88 |
| 07-14 09:25 | Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | BUY | 0.46 | $24.38 |
| 07-06 05:22 | Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%? | BUY | 0.5317642857 | $89.34 |
| 02-28 16:49 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | BUY | 0.3500647138 | $16.00 |