PolyBot

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Traders

0x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-1780903307589

0x295542613a56f22f0b726b1d26dc4eaf681e0738

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$126.1k
Markets traded
402
Open portfolio
$33.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded402
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat? · Yes0.9000.940$779.26+$33.16
Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat? · No0.9400.980$769.87+$31.05
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat? · Yes0.8840.945$756.00+$48.76
Will the Republican Party win the OK-02 House seat? · Yes0.9500.945$741.83$3.92
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat? · Yes0.8300.905$724.00+$59.83
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? · Yes0.7820.805$644.00+$18.40
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat? · Yes0.8490.950$593.75+$62.90
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? · Yes0.5610.933$592.77+$236.47
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat? · No0.9060.979$577.32+$42.91
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat? · Yes0.9500.945$567.00$3.00
Will the Republican Party win the PA-06 House seat? · No0.9600.945$567.00$9.00
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat? · Yes0.9500.945$567.00$3.00
Will the Republican Party win the GA-03 House seat? · Yes0.9500.945$562.27$2.98
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat? · Yes0.8290.930$521.73+$56.43
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6050.645$516.00+$32.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:00Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat?BUY0.93$96.72
09-11 11:30Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat?BUY0.93$81.84
09-11 08:01Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?BUY0.95$22.80
09-11 07:58Will the Republican Party win the NY-15 House seat?BUY0.006$2.00
09-11 07:57Will the Republican Party win the NY-15 House seat?BUY0.006$2.00
09-11 01:58Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?BUY0.6795$13.59
09-11 01:48Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?BUY0.66$60.72
09-11 01:48Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?BUY0.6128536124$171.60
09-10 21:57Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?BUY0.0192944602$2.24
09-10 18:03Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?BUY0.92$17.48
09-10 17:42Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?BUY0.9177876106$207.42
09-10 15:24Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?BUY0.8$5.60
09-10 15:18Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?BUY0.104574635$23.53
09-10 12:24Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.47$61.10
09-10 12:23Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4699999992$157.44