0x295542613a56F22F0B726B1D26DC4Eaf681e0738-1780903307589
0x295542613a56f22f0b726b1d26dc4eaf681e0738
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $126.1k
- Markets traded
- 402
- Open portfolio
- $33.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded402
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$783.07at 0.021Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$707.50at 0.087Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
- +$456.16at 0.329Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$411.30at 0.321Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
- +$377.76at 0.185Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:00 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $96.72 |
| 09-11 11:30 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $81.84 |
| 09-11 08:01 | Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $22.80 |
| 09-11 07:58 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 07:57 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 01:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.6795 | $13.59 |
| 09-11 01:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.66 | $60.72 |
| 09-11 01:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.6128536124 | $171.60 |
| 09-10 21:57 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.0192944602 | $2.24 |
| 09-10 18:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $17.48 |
| 09-10 17:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.9177876106 | $207.42 |
| 09-10 15:24 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.60 |
| 09-10 15:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.104574635 | $23.53 |
| 09-10 12:24 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.47 | $61.10 |
| 09-10 12:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4699999992 | $157.44 |