PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.020. down 0.010 over the period, from 0.030. Range 0.013 to 0.031. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.034100100
0.035500600
0.03830630
0.039124754
0.0405701,324
0.0411001,424
0.042601,484
0.0433921,876
0.0457662,642
0.0501,0003,642
0.0584004,042
0.0602,0506,092

Spread0.028Mid0.020

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0065353
0.0052578
0.00475153
0.003191344
0.002246591
0.0018971,488

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9945353
0.9952578
0.99675153
0.997191344
0.998246591
0.9998971,488

Spread0.028Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.966100100
0.965500600
0.96230630
0.961124754
0.9605701,324
0.9591001,424
0.958601,484
0.9573921,876
0.9557662,642
0.9501,0003,642
0.9424004,042
0.9402,0506,092

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Bsau4Yes842.99
BASSATS01Yes144.07
e46m3Yes40.17
0x3C4ff18425B00FBb0F5667e08C1A42F1Ea30B2BE-1776015121245Yes18
FrankyFourFingersYes16
SitsToPeeYes6.58
xtxpleasecallmeYes5
Ryxon21No691.49
0xa5ef…2966No118
macrosteaksNo105
edwolfmitchellNo56.57
goobdoyNo45.72
Elias.ThornwellNo28.42
LornaPredictsNo12
0x136B61633A6a6A60caB4618852a3645b748dB79d-1766769032008No10
0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:02:46BUYYes0.0215$0.11
01:42:58BUYYes0.042987686646$1.99
15:22:18SELLNo0.95856$53.65
18:46:03SELLNo0.96549$47.28
12:31:10BUYNo0.9610$9.60
12:30:06BUYNo0.9690$86.40
16:14:01BUYNo0.96210$201.60
19:47:19SELLYes0.04700$28.00
19:47:13BUYNo0.95741$703.98
13:35:42BUYYes0.0521$1.05
11:33:43SELLYes0.0420$0.80
11:27:28BUYNo0.9561$57.95
03:14:48BUYYes0.0521$1.05
23:22:28SELLYes0.04400$16.00
23:22:16SELLYes0.0450$2.00
23:22:09SELLYes0.0420$0.80
23:22:07BUYNo0.95501$475.95
00:07:07BUYYes0.0620$1.21
21:43:10SELLYes0.0550$2.50
21:43:07SELLYes0.0540$2.00
21:43:03BUYNo0.94100$94.00
19:13:43BUYNo0.94691$650.00
01:09:45SELLNo0.9350$46.50
01:06:19SELLNo0.93400$372.00
01:06:10BUYYes0.06500$30.00