0x3C4ff18425B00FBb0F5667e08C1A42F1Ea30B2BE-1776015121245
0x3c4ff18425b00fbb0f5667e08c1a42f1ea30b2be
- Realised P&L
- $-62.45
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 503
- Open portfolio
- $128.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded503
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.46at 0.036Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$26.53at 0.172Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
- +$23.74at 0.041Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$16.94at 0.479Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$10.88at 0.093Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:13 | Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.16 |
| 10-30 02:23 | Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.17 |
| 10-29 01:48 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.06 | $1.08 |
| 10-29 00:03 | Spread: Jacksonville State (-3.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $1.41 |
| 10-07 03:01 | Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:55 | Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.14 |
| 10-06 22:59 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.06 |
| 10-05 20:28 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.20 |
| 10-01 18:50 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.35 |
| 10-01 18:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.08 |
| 10-01 18:44 | Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage | BUY | 0.53 | $1.06 |
| 10-01 18:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 10-01 18:44 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.22 |
| 10-01 17:18 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.11 |
| 10-01 06:48 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.44 |