goobdoy
0xab6df44f0d5bfd7e6b0c74f88634548bb97830ee
- Realised P&L
- $6.48
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $308.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $64.61 | −$0.35 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.987 | $55.80 | +$0.99 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.971 | 0.970 | $55.72 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? · No | 0.973 | 0.977 | $54.20 | +$0.19 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat? · No | 0.957 | 0.980 | $44.81 | +$1.05 |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.983 | 0.957 | $31.74 | −$0.88 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.978 | $1.96 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.76at 0.950Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.86at 0.956Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$0.63at 0.970Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?
- +$0.46at 0.950Iran Nuke before 2027?
- +$0.44at 0.976Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 07:40 | Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9861888759 | $21.80 |