edwolfmitchell
0x5b8da5323d6c2096aa2883b9bc5c0f45cc32ff82
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $162.55
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat? · No | 0.958 | 0.981 | $55.47 | +$1.27 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.965 | $53.93 | +$1.40 |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.958 | $53.15 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$960.00at 0.360Pirates vs. Cubs
- +$900.00at 0.400Blue Jays vs. Pirates
- +$700.00at 0.500Rays vs. Athletics
- +$637.00at 0.510Cubs vs. Blue Jays
- +$203.03at 0.330Timberwolves vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 10:03 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.986 | $19.72 |
| 04-30 10:01 | Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 04-30 10:01 | Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $23.39 |
| 03-19 12:06 | Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? | BUY | 0.958 | $19.16 |
| 08-15 08:18 | Pirates vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.36 | $540.00 |
| 08-14 06:38 | Cubs vs. Blue Jays | BUY | 0.51 | $663.00 |
| 08-11 10:56 | Rays vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.5 | $700.00 |
| 08-08 08:50 | Mystics vs Lynx | BUY | 0.81 | $648.00 |
| 05-02 10:30 | Rockets vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.6799999998 | $267.00 |
| 04-30 11:55 | Timberwolves vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 11:51 | Pistons vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.6599999977 | $57.90 |
| 04-28 13:16 | Ethereum Up or Down on April 28? | BUY | 0.7299999944 | $113.00 |