0x136B61633A6a6A60caB4618852a3645b748dB79d-1766769032008
0x136b61633a6a6a60cab4618852a3645b748db79d
- Realised P&L
- $231.28
- Volume
- $86.4k
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.440Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?
- +$563.04at 0.374Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?
- +$502.48at 0.667Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
- +$311.67at 0.150Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$234.52at 0.669Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.671 | $56.40 |
| 10-25 22:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5497413444 | $46.21 |
| 10-02 08:49 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-27 22:09 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | SELL | 0.5519588 | $551.96 |
| 09-20 10:58 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.005 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 06:43 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3553779708 | $40.00 |
| 09-19 04:06 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 09-19 03:50 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0030354784 | $19.00 |
| 09-19 01:36 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $800.00 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.93 | $1000.00 |
| 09-18 00:05 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.1594022416 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 00:03 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2399999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-17 23:59 | Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.886995055 | $34.00 |
| 09-17 23:58 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3995206551 | $500.00 |
| 09-17 23:32 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.525 | $262.50 |