PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x136B61633A6a6A60caB4618852a3645b748dB79d-1766769032008

0x136b61633a6a6a60cab4618852a3645b748db79d

Realised P&L
$231.28
Volume
$86.4k
Markets traded
251
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded251
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat? · Yes0.7000.755$175.46+$12.78
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat? · Yes0.8900.960$157.44+$11.48
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat? · Yes0.7380.795$152.64+$10.92
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? · Yes0.7100.655$131.00−$11.00
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat? · Yes0.7090.910$123.76+$27.40
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? · No0.7100.655$100.87−$8.47
Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat? · Yes0.9200.972$100.06+$5.30
Will the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat? · Yes0.7400.875$99.31+$15.32
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat? · Yes0.7200.860$98.90+$16.10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6600.645$93.20−$2.17
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? · No0.6000.580$71.63−$2.47
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-20 House seat? · Yes0.8900.992$65.47+$6.73
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? · No0.7000.495$57.57−$23.84
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat? · Yes0.4680.255$51.00−$42.70
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.8950.947$42.71+$2.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 22:38Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.671$56.40
10-25 22:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5497413444$46.21
10-02 08:49Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.51$10.20
09-27 22:09Ravens vs. CowboysSELL0.5519588$551.96
09-20 10:58Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.005$50.00
09-19 06:43Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3553779708$40.00
09-19 04:06Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6$120.00
09-19 03:50Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0030354784$19.00
09-19 01:36Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.9099999999$800.00
09-18 00:10Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.93$1000.00
09-18 00:05Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.1594022416$100.00
09-18 00:03Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2399999999$500.00
09-17 23:59Will Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?BUY0.886995055$34.00
09-17 23:58Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.3995206551$500.00
09-17 23:32US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.525$262.50