Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.601. up 0.080 over the period, from 0.520. Range 0.510 to 0.665. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.601	159	159
0.620	181	341
0.702	13	353
0.723	40	393
0.724	5	398
0.757	45	443
0.758	50	493
0.779	50	543
0.780	9	552
0.829	100	652
0.830	6	658
0.832	50	708

Spread0.001Mid0.601

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.600	415	415
0.580	99	514
0.575	77	591
0.563	20	611
0.553	60	671
0.550	300	971
0.341	20	991
0.340	36	1,027
0.261	30	1,057
0.131	40	1,097
0.121	568	1,665
0.090	2,500	4,165

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.400	415	415
0.420	99	514
0.425	77	591
0.437	20	611
0.447	60	671
0.450	300	971
0.659	20	991
0.660	36	1,027
0.739	30	1,057
0.869	40	1,097
0.879	568	1,665
0.910	2,500	4,165

Spread0.001Mid0.400

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.399	159	159
0.380	181	341
0.298	13	353
0.277	40	393
0.276	5	398
0.243	45	443
0.242	50	493
0.221	50	543
0.220	9	552
0.171	100	652
0.170	6	658
0.168	50	708

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
mrworldwide	Yes	496.5
resilience26	Yes	121.21
GuyFromTinder	Yes	117.2
FishHunter	Yes	101.99
AJSV	Yes	63.15
0xd10A59fCC18955EeAebd06D1234Cc3BD1e3fB9cD-1782111984332	Yes	32.66
PPMT	Yes	17.3
fkpajeets148840	Yes	8.3
Flobzzito	Yes	8
lolzzzlol	Yes	7
0x9488…6b27	Yes	5.62
szy10010	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	475.91
shiifoo	No	325
Haradwaith	No	79.98
Dr.PNL	No	36.28
pootytherewardfarmer	No	24.71
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	No	20
mustbethewater	No	10
2B9S	No	7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:47:00	BUY	Yes	0.601	5	$3.00
14:47:00	BUY	Yes	0.6009999972	2	$1.08
14:46:59	BUY	No	0.4	5	$2.00
06:25:30	BUY	Yes	0.608	13	$7.90
14:00:05	BUY	No	0.39	115	$44.85
12:11:45	BUY	No	0.389	5	$1.95
11:08:35	BUY	No	0.38999995	6	$2.42
11:08:33	BUY	No	0.3743295	200	$74.87
13:54:45	SELL	No	0.365	9	$3.24
00:29:50	BUY	Yes	0.612	6	$3.67
11:25:35	SELL	No	0.373	13	$4.89
11:21:15	SELL	Yes	0.626	7	$4.31
09:25:21	BUY	No	0.376	13	$4.89
09:06:45	SELL	Yes	0.63	20	$12.60
09:06:36	SELL	Yes	0.6301274102	235	$148.37
08:24:03	BUY	Yes	0.683	8	$5.46
04:16:11	BUY	Yes	0.724999971	7	$5.00
04:15:36	BUY	Yes	0.7629999517	4	$2.92
04:15:36	BUY	Yes	0.6037479145	492	$296.74
23:27:09	BUY	Yes	0.512	28	$14.17
18:50:51	SELL	Yes	0.51	6	$2.85
14:57:57	BUY	Yes	0.511	102	$52.12
06:50:47	SELL	Yes	0.511	14	$7.36
06:37:12	SELL	Yes	0.511	1	$0.36
06:10:45	SELL	No	0.484	7	$3.28